All Quiet on the CA Front

October 1st, 2008 by Julia Lim

If you’ve read the blog, you know that we follow the Perils of CA with much amusement. Honestly, you couldn’t make up the stuff that Sanjay Kumar et al were and apparently are still making headlines with “35-day months”, accusations that founder Charles Wang knew and was part of the whole mess, a former US senator involved too, Sanjay’s unbelievable $1 billion in restitution…and the list goes on. (img from NYTimes.com)

But I am reminded that it’s not just the titillating stuff that’s of interest. CA is still one of the Big 4 and up until a couple of years ago making headlines with some major and strategic purchases in our space – such as buying Concord for its e-Health software in 2005 and Wily Technology in 2006.

I recently ran across a 451 Group report, “CA: ghosts of deals past” by Brenon Daly (if you haven’t read one of his takes on the M&A market, you don’t know what you’re missing) that showed quantitatively just how much the acquisitions had slowed down.

2003 – 4

2004 – 3

2005 – 6

2006 – 6

2007 – 0

2008 – 0 (so far)

Two or three years ago (I still have the slide in our presentations), it seemed like you couldn’t go a month or two without hearing about the latest acquisition by the Big 4 – to either fill gaps in their monolithic portfolios or take out a growing threat, which had built some good technology. This should sound very familiar to anyone (like me) who rubbed up against WorldCom. Growth (in revenue and technology) by acquisition. Buy your own revenue and don’t worry about the niggling details like integration.

But we’ve certainly seen the acquisition trend slow across the board. HP, after its mega-purchase of Mercury Interactive in 2005 for $4.5 billion, for example, went relatively silent on the acquisition front in our space. Perhaps, as it turns out, because they were too busy preparing for the even bigger purchase of EDS for $13.9 billion (and the layoffs, 24,600 and counting, which in this worsening economy are probably just starting).

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October 1st, 2008